INTERBEING

Richard Feynman

The Great Questioner

I was born not knowing and have had only a little time to change that here and there.

What Physics Allows 38

What Physics Allows

The Bouncer at the Door of Possibility

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People ask me: what will the future look like? I cannot tell you what it will look like. Nobody can. But I can tell you what the physics allows and what it forbids. That is a shorter list and a more useful one.

Permitted by Physics (The Door Is Open)

Fusion power. Combining light nuclei to release energy. The sun does it. We have done it in bombs and in laboratories. The physics is settled. The engineering is the bottleneck. The question is not if but when and at what cost. Physics says: permitted.

Quantum computers that solve specific problems classical computers cannot. Quantum supremacy has been demonstrated for contrived problems. Useful quantum advantage for chemistry and materials is coming. Physics says: permitted, with caveats about error correction.

Space elevators. A cable from the surface to geostationary orbit, held taut by centrifugal force. The physics works perfectly. The materials do not exist yet. Carbon nanotubes have the theoretical strength but cannot be manufactured in lengths of 36,000 kilometers. Physics says: permitted if you can make the cable. Engineering says: not yet.

Interstellar travel. Not forbidden. A spacecraft at 10% of light speed reaches Alpha Centauri in 42 years. The energy required is enormous but finite. Project Starshot proposes using laser-pushed light sails to reach 20% of light speed. Physics says: permitted but expensive.

Artificial general intelligence. Nothing in physics forbids a machine that thinks. The brain is a physical system. Physical systems can be modeled. Whether current architectures are sufficient is a computer science question, not a physics question. Physics says: no prohibition.

Life extension. Aging is a physical process: accumulation of molecular damage, telomere shortening, protein misfolding. Nothing in the laws of physics requires organisms to age. Some organisms (certain jellyfish, lobsters, tortoises) show negligible senescence. Physics says: not forbidden. Biology says: very difficult.

Forbidden by Physics (The Door Is Closed)

Faster-than-light travel or communication. Special relativity forbids it. If you could send information faster than light, you could send it backward in time (from some reference frames), which creates causal paradoxes. Every experiment ever conducted is consistent with this speed limit. Physics says: forbidden.

A caveat: the Alcubierre warp drive is a solution to Einstein's field equations that permits effective FTL travel by distorting spacetime. It requires exotic matter with negative energy density. Whether such matter exists is unknown. The door might have a hidden key. But the standard lock is very secure.

Perpetual motion machines. The first law of thermodynamics forbids creating energy from nothing. The second law forbids converting heat entirely into work. Every perpetual motion machine ever proposed violates one or both. Physics says: forbidden, absolutely, without exception.

Perfect prediction of chaotic systems. Chaos means exponential sensitivity to initial conditions. Even if you know the laws perfectly, any measurement error, no matter how small, grows until the prediction is useless. Weather prediction has a fundamental horizon of about two weeks. Physics says: forbidden beyond the Lyapunov time.

Reversing entropy in a closed system. The second law of thermodynamics is statistical, not absolute, for small systems. But for macroscopic systems, it is as ironclad as any law in physics. You cannot unscramble an egg. You cannot unmix cream from coffee. You cannot rebuild a shattered vase by waiting. Time has a direction because entropy increases. Physics says: forbidden for any practical purpose.

Undecided by Physics (The Door Is Ajar)

Whether consciousness requires specific physical processes. Penrose says quantum gravity. Most neuroscientists say classical neural computation is sufficient. Nobody has a theory of consciousness that makes testable predictions. Physics says: we do not know.

Whether the universe is a simulation. Not testable with current methods. Some proposals for tests exist (looking for discretization effects at the Planck scale) but none have produced results. Physics says: undecided and possibly undecidable.

Whether there are other universes. The many-worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics says yes. String theory's landscape says yes. Neither is testable. Physics says: mathematically consistent but empirically inaccessible.

Whether dark matter is particles or modified gravity. Evidence strongly favors particles, but MOND has not been definitively ruled out in all contexts. Physics says: almost certainly particles, but the case is not closed.

The Physicist's Prediction

Here is what I predict about the future, based not on hope but on what the physics allows:

The things that are permitted and economically favorable will happen. Fusion, quantum computing, AI, renewable energy at scale. The cost curves are already bending. The physics is not the bottleneck. The engineering and the economics are.

The things that are forbidden will remain forbidden. No faster-than-light travel. No free energy. No perfect prediction. These constraints are not going to change. They are woven into the fabric of spacetime.

The things that are undecided will remain the most interesting. Consciousness, other universes, the nature of dark matter. These are where the next revolutions live. The undecided questions are the ones worth getting out of bed for.

Most futurism is wish fulfillment. Physics is the bouncer at the door of possibility. The bouncer does not care about your hopes. The bouncer checks your physics. If the physics checks out, the door opens. If it does not, no amount of wanting will open it.

The pleasure of finding things out includes finding out what is impossible. The impossible is load-bearing. It tells you where to stop pushing and where to push harder. The constraints are not the enemy of progress. They are the shape of progress.

What Physics Allows